Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 272.576028 307.845671 347.016508 393.937569 448.864669 511.429857 588.517984
2025-06-15 219.403608 265.497870 321.268253 394.479777 489.193627 609.174320 775.234583
2025-06-22 186.060569 235.198924 298.009967 385.598165 506.870457 672.372899 921.642320
2025-06-29 165.224155 216.236272 284.382660 384.230574 530.557598 743.414309 1088.818411
2025-07-06 144.623244 194.397995 263.205380 368.030622 528.812782 775.235857 1200.901646
2025-07-13 136.937155 189.172311 263.975334 382.682738 573.798733 883.768405 1457.650851
2025-07-20 130.955344 185.482930 266.143924 399.112583 623.246121 1007.181053 1768.478159
2025-07-27 122.482421 177.092111 260.079747 401.330393 648.929768 1093.650199 2030.840652
2025-08-03 112.569651 165.512429 247.760430 391.505613 651.873823 1138.752231 2220.402552
2025-08-10 104.447025 155.988012 237.727733 384.199886 657.942375 1190.178573 2435.742408
2025-08-17 100.791150 153.226969 238.370252 395.404983 699.805981 1319.605641 2864.165546
2025-08-24 95.243051 146.895023 232.393309 393.868588 716.535992 1399.624799 3196.588635
2025-08-31 88.980904 139.047364 223.388261 386.193580 720.838362 1455.739407 3491.981767
2025-09-07 84.585615 134.042040 218.937694 386.727059 742.416055 1555.852358 3945.477311
2025-09-14 79.259567 127.030096 210.292558 378.057883 742.856426 1605.859155 4270.493054
2025-09-21 75.460266 122.410557 205.593008 376.722953 759.290901 1698.753266 4766.194457
2025-09-28 70.058057 114.590459 194.380120 360.907781 740.437401 1697.243860 4948.750421
2025-10-05 68.953144 114.409556 197.460187 375.212038 794.359230 1901.845514 5949.915562
2025-10-12 68.075416 114.564111 201.164064 391.248309 855.226569 2141.929443 7221.681511
2025-10-19 65.655437 111.682371 198.695251 393.412713 881.574064 2287.742964 8193.823955
2025-10-26 62.146236 106.533309 191.345223 383.824017 875.919512 2333.885252 8750.682925
2025-11-02 59.145001 102.183852 185.312866 376.692996 875.907462 2398.694374 9438.839100
2025-11-09 58.141457 101.616936 186.945144 387.629842 927.177728 2647.678904 11234.905265